… that’s Poker!

Posted by icemonkey9 on Feb 25, 2008 in General | 0 comments

Man, talk about going from "Devastating" to "Devastated" in about 48 hours. I went to Melissa's poker/Oscar party last night in LA and walked into a land mine. Actually, what it felt like was being led to the firing squad, only I'm not the one blindfolded, it's the entire firing squad that is. The game was VERY slow, filled with noobs, and I think every single hand went to a showdown. It was a ridiculous game, one that I shouldn't have put $40 on, but whatever. I played well, I just took some hard core bad beats, including:

A10 vs 10 9. I'm a 71-27% favorite. I lose.
10 9 for a made flush at the flop vs Q J for top pair. I'm a 97-2% favorite. I lose (runner-runner for a boat)
KQs vs 3 9 off. I'm a 70-30% favorite. I lose.

The kicker is that I came home and played and a $2 Turbo SNG on PT. I was on the bubble and pushed it to the felt with 10 10 after the SB clearly was trying to steal my BB. He has to call my all in because of pot odds. What happened?

10 10 vs 84 = He hits trips 8s on the flop, and a full house on the river. I was a 86 to 14% favorite on that one.

It made me wonder if either "luck" or "chance" exists ... it's one or the other right? Since I took statistics in college, I believe in chance and playing odds ... but yesterday made me think the moon was in some odd orbit or some planet was misaligned with me, for me to take 4 such bad beats all in a row. Statically speaking I should have only lost 1 of them. Oh well, maybe I'm getting those out of the way and will go on a nice run now. One can ONLY hope.