So How Was The Play, Mrs Lincoln? [519 Hands / -$99.30]

Today I started my 50nl career ... and I started it in craptacular fashion. Fortunately, I have a witness to my session, as I was having Zachvac from cardschat.com sweat me (that is when he watches me play and comments). As Zach will attest, what happened to me was some pretty bad fortune. And I roughly quote, "...and I thought I was running bad," said Zach. Indeed ... indeed. Looking at the graph for the session I ran $150 below expected EV. Yeow.

Anyways I would say 50nl is just as fishy, and when the fish don't get so lucky I should definitely be a winner at this level. Just looking at the two hands I got sucked out on, that's a $166 swing. Quite a different story if those hands go the way of the favorite. I did notice a lot more blind resteals and 3bets, so I'll have to find out what those mean but overall I never felt overwhelmed and found it pretty exciting.

So lets look at these hands ...

The Biggest Pot I've Ever Lost

Villain in this hand is a 26/6/1 guy I saw at 25nl actually. I get it in with the nuts at the time and was a 90-10 favorite at that point. Running cards give him the straight over my set. Good grief.

Another Flopped Set ... Another Runner-Runner Loss

This villain must have thought of me as his personal ATM machine, and even another player commented on how bad he was and how f'd I was getting. The villain is a 71/6/3 player who folds to exactly NOTHING EVER. At the river he hits his gutshot ... and for whatever reason (thankfully?) he flats my pot river bet. Zach couldn't figure out why he would just flat that bet, and it's my guess that he didn't know he had the straight.

Same villain ... same result.

The idea at the PF and flop bets were to just get in the hand (he's calling anything) and then have him bet the flop as he did whenever I checked. I guess his check should have sent alarm bells, but could I really put him on a higher flopped flush!? He min-raises me ... twice ... so I just flat ... YUP - he had be beat.

Triple Barrel Respect?

I flop top pair and on Zach's advise I flat the flop and turn. With the triple barrel on the river I give it respect and lay it down ... probably had a better A ... but even a hand like JQ had me beat.

When I did have a big PF hand ...

Yeah I got VERY cold cards. Zach said in the video that "I think pokerstars forgot to put in J-A in this deck for you" ... but when I did have a big PF hand, this would happen OR I would make a standard raise and everyone would fold.

4 Comments

  1. Angus1412

    Sucks your first 50nl went so bad. But as you said they were all pretty shitty beats,so keep at it imo and in a month or two youll be sweating my 50nl start as the residential pro.

  2. Angus1412

    Sucks your first 50nl went so bad. But as you said they were all pretty shitty beats,so keep at it imo and in a month or two youll be sweating my 50nl start as the residential pro.

  3. SavagePenguin

    I hit $50NL a little while back. In my first game I won $7 I think. But then I ran really cold. I was down 5 buy-ins at one point.

    I made it to just shy of a 1 buy-in profit before getting cold again moving back down to $25NL.

    So I hope things turn back around for you and then stay green for awhile. Confidence is a big thing. When I moved up to $10NL and $25NL, I crushed the games and kicked myself for not making the move sooner. But that wasn’t he case with $50NL.

    $50NL is definitely beatable and has a lot of bad players (like $25NL), but watching a $100+ pot slop through your fingers time and time again because someone hit their turn or river can be a real ball buster if you’re used to $25NL stakes.

    I’m rooting for ya, Icemonkey. I know I’ll be taking another swing at it when I feel the time is right, and it’d do me good to see you succeed.

  4. Damn Ice they are some serious suckouts dude no worries though you’ll be up 2moro !
    Just a quick question whats expected EV and how do you work it out or w.e!?

Leave a Reply